Blog 2004/5

2007 entries here
2006 entries here
2005 entries here

Jack discovers the joys of webcams - Jan 05

 

 

 

 

Entries: UK Election 2005 | Science & Pseudo-science | Make Poverty History | Population and Climate | Bush & his Crusades | Morality | Cannabis | Tobacco | Extra-Terrestrials & God

 

March 05

In his Guardian column this week, the former Foreign Secretary Robin Cook [RIP] worries that Labour's fortunes might be damaged by a dismal turnout at the forthcoming election (The Abstention party is the biggest threat, not the Tories, Guardian Friday March 18, 2005). He may be right, but this is a matter that goes well beyond the tactical concerns of any political party.

According to the pollsters, most of the elderly are expected to vote on Election Day, but it seems hardly anyone else will—especially not the young—a democratic crisis that can’t simply be put down to negative media coverage or so-called voter apathy; there is systemic failure here too. In particular, our electoral system has shortcomings that become ever more glaring with each campaign: not only is it pointless for many of us to vote (a red ballot in Beaconsfield is as redundant as a blue one in Bootle), but the government is effectively decided by a handful of carefully courted voters in places like Braintree and Orpington. Most tragic of all, given that only Labour or Conservative can realistically win parliamentary majorities under our clunky first-past-the-post system, there is no real impetus, or prospect, for change.

But perhaps solutions are at hand: we could vote Lib Dem; we could boycott the election; we could even spoil our ballot papers. If the next government were to be returned on a paltry turnout, with many spoilt ballots, and a few more Lib Dems in Parliament, the result would be laughable and reform of the electoral system unavoidable—after all, neither parliament nor ministers could claim much legitimacy unless enough of us vote for them. In America President Bush's authority rests on barely 25% of the public's support; do we really want such a moribund system in Britain too?

As for Labour warnings that a vote for the Liberal Democrats might result in a Tory government, have the spin-meisters of Millbank not heard of Peter and the Wolf? Our leaders deceived us in order to go to war—a war driven by American delusion and sold with Orwellian fantasy—and accordingly many of us now regard their pronouncements with contempt. If the Tories somehow manage to squeak in, or if we end up with a hung parliament, then I for one will be laughing. In eight years there has been scant mention of electoral reform, despite promises to the contrary, so it's a bit late to start worrying about tactical voting now. Labour look set to win another thumping parliamentary majority with a minority of the votes cast. What does it take to admit that our voting system is rotten?

If we want more people to vote we must have a fair and respectable electoral system—one in which every vote counts the same. If enough of us vote Lib Dem, spoil our ballot papers, or stay at home on May 5th, we might just get that.

See also: Richard Dawkins in the Independent
http://www.makemyvotecount.org.uk

 

February 2005

Correct me if I’m wrong, but I thought the scientific method involves: a) observing a phenomenon disinterestedly, b) generating some falsifiable hypotheses to explain said phenomenon, and then c) looking for evidence that would render one or more of these hypotheses invalid. Taking a position and then looking for evidence which "proves the theory" may be intuitively appealing, not to mention financially sound (especially when a government is paying the bills), but science it ain’t. It's pseudoscience; it’s what creationists do; it’s a lazy attempt to cook the books, and it needs to be exposed at every turn.

I mention this because the work of Dr Jean Cadet at the US National Institute on Drug Abuse (NIDA) is in the news (Marijuana makes blood rush to the head, New Scientist, 07 February 2005). I wonder how many New Scientist readers—no matter how opposed they may be to recreational drugs—would describe this sort of thing as “scientific”. To take but one detail that should have put the editors on alert, apparently Dr Cadet “monitored the flow of blood through the brains of 54 marijuana smokers, among whom the heaviest user smoked 50 joints every day.”

Excuse me? As anyone who has worked at all closely with drug-users will know, fifty joints a day is an astonishing amount of cannabis. The heaviest user I ever met was a man I used to work with who was permanently puffing on a joint (in part to self-medicate his mania), yet his consumption seldom exceeded twenty joints a day. A person smoking fifty joints a day (that’s three an hour!) wouldn’t be able to do any work—walking would be quite an achievement—so if Dr Cadet’s subject really did smoke that much, he must be a man of independent means who can afford to indulge his extraordinary habit—which would run to more than $100 a day. Even if this example is bona fide, it doesn't tell us much about average cannabis use, which in Britain typically runs to less than 50 joints a month. (Ref)

If an economist, say, published a paper in which he denied that carbon emissions posed any threat to our future, demonized the majority of climatologists who argued otherwise, and then supported his claim by citing the meticulously measured carbon emissions of some obscure jungle tribe, we would quite rightly be somewhat skeptical to say the least. If it turned out that he was also funded by an oil company, we would give his story no credence whatsoever (see here). But change the area of "research" to recreational drug use and suddenly we drop our guard and uncritically accept whatever "evidence" is presented to us, wherever it comes from, and despite the fact that much of it is ideologically driven. Studies such as these are lacking in rigour, and are often transparently self-serving (see here). Science it ain't.

Despite the ever tougher penalties drug-users face, drugs remain astonishingly popular. According to the UN's drug control program we spend about a billion US dollars a day on banned substances worldwide (Ref). This is no surprise—drugs can make us feel wonderful. But their abuse can also cause untold misery, so anything that sheds light on how they work and affect us—and how we can reduce the associated suffering—is to be welcomed. We must, however, stop paying attention to ideologically motivated pseudoscience, especially when it comes from supposedly august institutions such as the NIDA. Science it ain't; it's Lysenkoism.

See also below
New Scientist Special Report on Drugs
Transform Report

January 05

Disaster is in the air. Tsunamis, wars, famines, epidemics and extinctions shout from every headline it seems. Non-violent disasters abound too. One in five Britons is functionally illiterate—a pathetic statistic for a so-called civilized country (a situation that is even worse in America); 60% of young people in Britain have no idea what the word "Auschwitz" means; and of course we spend so very, very much more on killing each other than we do on helping each other—billions per day (see here)—it is almost comical; all of which promises more disaster.

But while such news is depressing, perhaps not all is lost. I have been much impressed by the efforts of Bob Geldof and Bono, to end what they call "stupid poverty" in the developing world (i.e. the scandalous and completely unnecessary squalor that millions of people still live in). Their efforts have led to the Make Poverty History campaign—something we should all support. This is a simple, inexpensive and achievable idea that will improve the lives of millions and benefit us all. With thousands of children dying every day for want of the simplest things, such as clean water and a few cents worth of food, we can't let this campaign fail—history would not look upon us kindly. Get involved.

 

September 04

Reply to the economist Will Hutton - Ageing Populations and our Global Future

Dear Mr Hutton,

Although the population of Europe has been decimated by disease and war many times in the last thousand years, it still seems to be an article of economic faith that an aging or declining population is Very Bad News Indeed. Even you (An Italian lesson for Europe, Observer, Sept 26) describe this phenomenon as nothing less than a “threat to civilization”.

You cite the case of Italy, whose population is forecast to shrink twenty percent in the next forty years, and note that the classical economic solution to this “calamity”—which is set to afflict most of Europe—is to financially incentivize people to have more children by offering generous child care benefits and cheap loans. As you point out, it’s far from clear that the promise of more debt and consumption will make the prospect of children any more attractive, and in any case if the problem of a dwindling population is so dire, surely the obvious solution would be to replenish our numbers by allowing immigration from parts of the world where populations are booming. After all, with more than six billion people on the planet already—many of whom live in desperately Hobbesian circumstances—it makes no sense to increase our numbers any further. The Malthusian scythe is savage and indiscriminate, and is always ready to fall, so worrying about things like the ethnicity of our citizens—as some do—is as ridiculous as it is odious. But to return to your central point, are the consequences of an ageing population really as bad as we assume?

To be sure, as our average age rises we will need to confront difficult issues such as pension and healthcare provision, but this may not be as problematic as it seems today. Economic focus will inevitably shift as our culture’s obsession with youth gives way to the concerns of an increasingly older demographic, and technology may well make the future very different from what we currently expect. I don't see why ageing has to be the grey calamity you predict.

You say that "the wellsprings of creativity will run dry”, and that our culture will “stagnate” as youngsters become rarer, but I think you overstate the case, or else reflect the ageism that still saturates so much of our thinking. In most respects “the elderly” are as heterogeneous a group as “the young”, and many of the world’s greatest scholars, artists and scientists are in their emeritus years—as they have always been. Moreover, in these days of extended life and health, traditional stereotypes are becoming increasingly irrelevant: women's fertility is no longer the rigid constraint it was, and a growing number of diseases are all but banished. So instead of worrying about how to perpetuate our avaricious, wasteful, debt-ridden economy, we might do better to rethink our notions of what it means to be young and old, working and retired, producer and consumer.

It seems to me that our almost religious adherence to economic orthodoxy stems from our equally barnacle-like attachment to the myth of perpetual economic growth—the ever-rising tide that lifts all our boats higher, year on year.

If only it could be so. Alas such theorizing conveniently ignores the fact that in a world of increasing demand for finite natural resources, this kind of growth cannot continue indefinitely—sooner or later something must give. Indeed, we might actually be accelerating towards disaster. The potent combination of smarter technology, mobile capital, and cheap labour has resulted in levels of productivity never before seen in manufacturing, with the result that retail prices in the industrialized world remain historically low in real terms. This only encourages more consumption and thus further (and faster) depletion of natural resources. The supply-side crunch, when it comes, could bite very hard and very fast, leaving us facing a much bleaker future than we currently imagine.

All of which which makes me wonder whether falling birth rates in the West might be a reflection of a deeper sense of uncertainty about the future more generally. And there's certainly reason to worry, for unless we take drastic action in the next few years the world may well have a very much smaller human population before too long, the cause of which will have nothing to do with falling birth rates: climate change—fuelled, ironically, by the same rampant consumerism that is supposed to protect and improve our lifestyles—is a reality that could result in a cull of Biblical proportions.

But the irony runs deeper, and could scarcely be more tragic: the same brutal logic of free-market economics that keeps us in jam while others starve also ensures that in a divisive, competitive world it pays to continue the mining, deforesting and polluting that only hastens the very real calamity we now know is imminent. Even if one or two countries were to slow or even halt their carbon emissions, this would merely put them at an expensive disadvantage while other nations continued to pollute and profit. Climate change—like population control—is a global problem, and global problems need global solutions. Fretting about whether or not a few rich countries should boost their shrinking populations by offering better paternity benefits and cheaper mortgages is frankly no more than an exercise in denial—truly a case of fiddling while Rome burns.

Links

Former UK Foreign Secretary Robin Cook agrees
BBC study of ageing in the UK
New Scientist Climate Change section
George Monbiot's articles on climate change
The Australian government is also worrying about its ageing (and darkening) population
Nation article by Robert F. Kennedy Jr., criticizing governmental gerrymandering of environmental science

 

April 04

Mr Bush and his Crusades (See also here)

The end of the world is forever nigh it seems. Not content with the grim business of waging his wars on terror and drugs, President Bush and his fundamentalist shock troops are now trying to convince us of their latest apocalyptic vision—which apparently also threatens civilized society as we know it—gay marriage.

But behind the doom-laden strap lines and earnest sound bites, the arguments advanced for banning same-sex marriages are laughable—or they would be if they weren't so insulting to the "juggernaut" of the gay community. Like the stem cell/cloning mystery of how a few dozen undifferentiated cells somehow add up to a human, Mr Bush's thinking on this matter appears to owe more to evangelical zeal than evidence or reason, never mind the "universal values" that he claims unite us in the face of international terrorism. The ethics of these matters may be obvious to him, but to a Bright like me it all looks very different. What harm worthy of such a furore could result from a few Jacks marrying a few Johns—or at least for them to enjoy the same legal protections in their relationships as the rest of us? And for that matter, on what grounds do we accord human blastocysts—the source of embryonic stem cells—the same legal protections we confer on newborns? I can't wait to see how Mr Bush will decide the ethical status of human parthenogenetic blastocysts (i.e. when unfertilized eggs are artificially coaxed into dividing for a few days). If these cell bundles are to be accorded human status then perhaps our toenail clippings should be too.

The source of all this nonsense—indeed the inspiration for much White House policy these days—can be found within the brimstone pages of the Old Testament—the traditional document of choice for those who seek to justify the unjustifiable. Not that this President's biblically-inspired prejudices are anything new. Indeed, Mr Bush's homophobia is in many ways no more than a re-run of various other religiously endorsed political prejudices, now officially abandoned, such as the 18th Amendment, the disaster of slavery, and the long-standing refusal to grant women the vote. Even the language is familiar; I quote from the May 1869 edition of Catholic World magazine:

Extend now to women suffrage and eligibility; give them the political right to vote and to be voted for; render it feasible for them to enter the arena of political strife, to become canvassers in elections and candidates for office, and what remains of family union will soon be dissolved. (Ref.)

Clearly, the same fears that fuelled the 19th century discriminations against women and people of colour are still alive and well today, and are even being expressed in similar "thin-end-of-the-wedge" style arguments. We know the mantra: if "we" (good, upright, church-going, white, male, citizens) allow "them" (atheists, gays, females, non-white people, etc) to do what we do, then pretty soon everything will go to hell in a hand basket. In an effort to stop this slide into abomination, 21st century American homophobes are now seeking a constitutional amendment to ring-fence their nice, straight, God-fearing Disneyland ideal. Article XXVIII: Dulce Domum Americana.

Doubtless Mr Bush sleeps soundly at night, untroubled by his conscience, secure in the belief that he’s fighting the good fight. But he might want to pause and reflect on how history will regard his time in the Oval Office, because it has to be said, unless he can pull off something spectacular it doesn’t look great for him. His administration has reneged on several international treaties, invaded two countries, increased the nation's debt to record levels, and put a couple of million Americans out of work—not exactly the greatest record. And assuming the capture of Osama Bin Laden fails to materialize between now (March 2004) and November, one wonders what generous summations the pundits will be offering the Bush Junior Presidency come Christmas—"a sincere man who followed his conscience"? Perhaps, but as good Dr King reminded us, "Nothing is more dangerous than sincere ignorance and conscientious stupidity." Indeed.

Links
Anti-gay sentiment is on the rise in America - Guardian

 

March 2004

This month's excursion is the result of a recent talk with a friend about how we prefer to think of morality in nice, clean, black and white terms—and how problematic this can be when we step into the murky waters of sexual infidelity.

Socrates: And what is good, Phaedrus, and what is not good—
need we ask anyone to tell us these things?

Plato, The Phaedrus
(As translated by Robert Pirsig in
Zen and the Art of Motorcycle Maintenance)

We talk of ‘moral character’, by which we mean a kind of attitude, and so it seems to follow that morality is something that goes on inside us—presumably in our brains. But how much of a person's sense of morality is inculcated habit and how much innate, or chosen? Some people seem to need external rules; they simply do not have the intuitive, felt sense of right and wrong that most of us are familiar with. Such people are not necessarily "bad people", they simply have an empathy deficit—a kind of social, or moral, blind spot. Aside from those who are described by psychologists as suffering from an "autism spectrum disorder," most of those with an empathy deficit fall into the category of "narcissists", or in extreme cases, "psychopaths" (who not only have little or no conscience, but actually take pleasure from the suffering of others—they have what we might call a 'negative conscience'). I think the psychologist Albert Stein has it right—he calls such people emotional vampires. Most of us know one.

But apart from this small percentage of the population, what can we say about about the rest of us?

To be sure, we regard the words and deeds of individuals as indicative of their character and morality, but what we really want to know is: are they being sincere? Do they truly mean well? Or are they making an effort to obey social rules to avoid punishment? When they try and cut a corner and it doesn't work out, do they feel shame or guilt, or merely wish they hadn't been caught?

To complicate matters, some philosophers claim that mental states such as belief and desire have an ethical dimension: many religious traditions, for instance, insist on purity of thought and feeling.

I think there are problems with the idea that non-conscious neurological activity has an ethical valence. I agree it can, but only when certain conditions are met—in particular when it is connected to behaviour. As James Russell Lowell put it in Rousseau and the Sentimentalists, “Every man feels instinctively that all the beautiful sentiments in the world weigh less than a single lovely action.” Quite so. It’s easy to be an imaginary hero, much more difficult to be the real thing.

Even if I believe—as in William Clifford's 1877 thought experiment—that the ship I am about to send on a voyage is sound when in fact it is not (and I could easily have ascertained as much), what really matters is not so much my belief, but that the vessel should not depart unrepaired. From the cognitive point of view, as Clifford rightly says, the stifling of doubt is the morally relevant issue, but there is more to the matter than this, and we can only make a full moral judgment when we know the totality of what is intended, believed, said, and done (or not done). The consequences of particular actions, as well as the patterns of neurological activity that led to them, are undoubtedly germane to such an evaluation, but by themselves are insufficient. We need to stand back a bit and look at the wider ecology—of an agent situated in (and interacting with) a dynamic environment.

It seems to me that ideas, thoughts, or feelings can only have an ethical valence when some action (speech, gesture, or other behaviour) is entailed (or not). Some thoughts or feelings may be unhealthy, and others distasteful, but I can't see how cognitive activity per se has any moral value—especially given that we have so little control over the thoughts, ideas, desires and dreams that come into our minds. To contemplate the commission of a deed is, I suggest, amoral (even if it feels bad); actually doing the deed may well be another matter (again, regardless of how it feels). If I believe that the world is flat and rests on the back of a giant turtle, it isn't obvious that any harm could result from my belief. Most people would likely smile and "respect" my quaint belief in the same way we look charitably on those who believe that the world was made in six days. But if I believe that it is necessary to sacrifice first born males, or that women are less intelligent than men, or that black people should be the slaves of white people, the matter is very different. Quite rightly, no such courtesy will be extended to me (except by any deluded souls who believe this sort of nonsense). Belief in these cases has a direct effect on what will or might happen in the world.

To put it technically, this is the idea that a moral valence only emerges when cognition is (or is going to be) embodied and enacted—when a promise is broken, a duty neglected, another’s welfare ignored (or, positively, when we do something that goes beyond mere obligation or expectation).

With respect to the peculiar business of sexual morality, I pray to all the gods in all the heavens that thinking about sex with someone other than one’s partner is not immoral, otherwise a lot of us are in deep trouble!

But while fantasy and imagination, in my plan at least, are exempt from moral evaluation, feeling sure that one would take a sexual opportunity should it arise is a different matter, particularly if one has promised that one won't. Such a feeling is "cognition-ready-to-be-embodied"—an event waiting for a trigger—and is ethically significant because of the suffering that may result. It indicates both the low esteem in which the other is held, as well as the readiness to betray. But even if one hasn’t made such a commitment and feels sure of yielding to the right temptation, the moral question is essentially the same: to what extent will my decisions and behaviour diminish me or lead to the suffering of others?

I think there is a Darwinian aspect to this too. We have evolved, in part, by putting an ever higher value on actions in which we can discern truth and/or love. In particular, we have evolved to find these values pleasing—not least because those who embody these qualities make good friends and neighbours, and with good friends and neighbours you generally get to live a longer, happier, and more fecund life. In other words, "honesty and friendliness genes" become more common.

Why then, are we not all perfectly honest, faithful and considerate in the game of life? Because, in typically amoral fashion, natural selection ensures that only the most gene-maximizing lineages prosper, whether or not they are nice, and that means being self-serving, ruthless and deceitful when circumstances demand. The Machiavellian logic of Game Theory finds its most potent expression in genetics.

But as well as a maelstrom of conflicting instincts and interests, we also have to consider the whopping layer of cerebral cortex we possess—an evolutionary oddity that, as William James noted, has left us with more instincts than the animals, not less, and in particular our prized "moral instincts." This seeming excess of grey matter may have puzzled scientists for generations, but it has also facilitated the evolution of technological culture as well as our ever increasing capacity for analysis and self-reflection.

But while we may be the only species to have unraveled our genetic code and visited the Moon, biologically and psychologically we remain fitted to the stone-age environment. This perhaps explains why we are such confused and fickle creatures; easily-frightened; easily-angered; unsure of almost everything yet ready to believe almost anything. With our pliable consciences and talent for imaginative sophistry we seem to be able to justify any amount of humbug and horror when it suits us (especially in the righteous pursuit of pleasure and piety), so turning a blind eye to the fact that a potential sexual partner has existing commitments is, for most of us, a cinch.

Behind the idea of "moral choice" lies the assumption that we really are able to choose as freely as we like to think—our old friend free will—because without some degree of conscious choice morality looks like a very slim concept indeed (e.g. we don't regard animals with a moral eye). But however sovereign we may claim to be, when it comes to sex all the evidence suggests that our choices are seldom as free as they seem. We do not choose our instincts, nor the objects of our desires, and in truth most of us only have an uncertain veto when it comes to who we shag. As I put it elsewhere: perhaps when the rhythms of nature and culture are consonant we can skip to the beat of freedom, but when they are in counterpoint, make no mistake, we dance to the deeper drum.

I don’t know. The foregoing assumes the principle of individualism, which actually looks increasingly ropey to me. We grope and stumble through what seems like a moral minefield, desperate for a clear, simple map to guide us and there may not be one. Religious teachings are of little use as they tend to be simplistic, authoritarian and are often fixated on seemingly arbitrary issues like homosexuality or whether or not to cut the genitals of children. Besides, one faith's sacrament is another's heresy. Evolutionary genetics doesn’t offer much help either, as it can only tell us how we came to be as we are, not how we should behave. What else is there? Art? Art is concerned with arête (Greek for ‘excellence’), and although aesthetics and ethics overlap, art alone doesn't seem to offer a reliable way to decide moral questions.

If we're going to ask how we should behave in the world, then philosophy is surely the place to start: we have two thousand years' worth of moral thinking to get on with there.

Or maybe, in the end, we're on our own with this; each of us answering to our conscience—a task that as Hamlet knew only too well, is much easier for some than others.

New Scientist

 

January 2004
Cannabis & Madness

Just when I thought a bit of sanity might be coming to the drugs debate, it seems the Drug Mullahs are on the warpath again. Borrowing the "45 minute" ruse that proved so effective in getting the green light to invade Iraq, they are now trying to convince us of a new threat—a threat that is set to ruin the mental health of our youth: shrubs of mass destruction, subversively growing on windowsills across the nation.

I refer to the drug warriors' latest myth—which is straight from the Reefer Madness school of drug education—that cannabis (yes, cannabis) is sending young people bonkers in their droves. You see, apparently cannabis isn't really cannabis anymore; oh no, it's turned into something much more dangerous...

This nonsense all began in earnest last February (2003), when professor Hamid Ghodse, career member and six-time President of the International Narcotics Control Board (INCB), claimed that the UK’s reclassification of cannabis would have disastrous consequences for the nation’s mental health, and might even have "worldwide repercussions". In particular he warned that within the next decade or so our psychiatric hospitals might be "filled with people who have problems with cannabis." (UN attacks Blunkett's new cannabis law, Guardian, Feb 26 2003)

This sort of mendacious scaremongering is reminiscent of the infamous warnings given to children of previous generations about the hazards of masturbation—another unstoppable activity that was the target of prohibitionist forces for generations. Anyone familiar with cannabis (or masturbation) will recognize how absurd these claims are, and Dr Ghodse’s remarks, far from helping to clarify the issues and offer authoritative advice, only serve to cast more doubt on the already dubious credibility of the INCB.

To the embarrassment of those who advocate prohibition, the surveys show that where cannabis is freely available, consumption is no greater than in places where it is prohibited [Ref and Ref]. But even under prohibition, anyone in Britain wanting to smoke cannabis can do so, with ease, and by all accounts huge numbers do so every day. Indeed, millions of us have been smoking the stuff for years without any mental heath problems being reported or predicted [Ref]. Moreover, despite a complete lack of legal regulation or quality control, there has never been a single reported death caused directly by cannabis—a substance whose toxicity is considerably less than that of aspirin or alcohol. In other words, the government’s modest step of reclassifying cannabis from class “B” to “C” is extremely unlikely to turn any of us into psychotic drug-fiends. Having said that, some people are psychologically fragile, and should take great care when consuming any psychotropic substances, legal or otherwise. But even if a few are specifically harmed by cannabis, this is surely insufficient to legislate against the vast majority who are not, much less reinforce the bankrupt policy of prohibition. What is called for is proper regulation.

As for the other, causative part of this myth—that cannabis isn’t really cannabis anymore—this is the specious claim that the grass we smoke today is much stronger (and therefore more dangerous) than the gentle, back-of-the-bikesheds stuff harmlessly smoked in the sixties and seventies. An EU-wide study into exactly this question found no evidence that cannabis is any stronger today than it was in the nineteenth century, never mind the sixties. Nevertheless, the Guardian, which really ought to know better, appears to buy this cheap myth saying: "Some of the very strong cannabis on the streets today bears little relation to the mild mood-altering stuff used by yesterday's students" (Police urge return to tough line on cannabis, 27 June 2004; see also: End the confusion over cannabis, 18 Jan 2004). This pernicious myth has been around for quite a while (since at least 1988 - see here), but only in the last few years has it started to harden into a "fact" upon which policy can be based. This demonization looks suspiciously like a ploy designed to transform the world's favourite weed into something more worthy of the moniker "dangerous drug." I wouldn't be surprised to see a "dodgy dossier" produced in due course.

There is, of course, scant evidence that cannabis is any stronger than it ever has been, and to my knowledge no reputable independent study has ever been cited in support of this claim. Clever horticulture has no doubt succeeded in making certain strains of cannabis more consistent in their THC yield (THC being the active ingredient so to speak), but as far as I know growers have yet to make the stuff any more potent (e.g. see United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime report here, and peer reviewed research here). But even if they had—even if this part of the myth were true—would this necessarily be a cause for alarm? It would seem that the worst thing about cannabis is that one has to smoke it, so it may be that stronger cannabis would be a good thing. Perhaps users could smoke less for the same effect. But perhaps not—we simply don't know because there isn't enough credible, disinterested research being done. What is needed is for the whole matter to be scrutinized without ideological prejudice or political interference. A Royal Commission (in Britain) would be a good start.

Mental illness can be a tragedy of the most distressing kind, and to the extent that drugs—whether legal or not—are involved in causing it there should be clear regulation and education. But to speculate on the role of cannabis as a putative cause of mental illness in vulnerable young people, while other, known causes such as poor diet, abuse, social pressures, poverty, and pollution go unmentioned and unaddressed, is both absurd and dishonest.

Actually, now that I think of it, there are some psychiatric problems connected with cannabis, and they do cause untold misery. But it isn't users who are going mad; the poor souls in need of treatment are those who find the recreational use of cannabis so objectionable they feel compelled to terrorize the rest of us into abstinence.

Note - Dec 2004: Some respectable studies are now showing that heavy cannabis use (indeed the excessive use of many psychotropic substances) can increase the risk of psychosis in young people already at risk - a small percentage of teenage boys especially it seems. See here and here

Links

RSP Article
New Scientist Article on Cannabis and Mental Health
New Scientist Drugs Channel
Drug Policy Alliance

Johann Hari's Archive
Transform


December 2003

Death to Tobacco Companies! Death to Smokers! Death to Death!

The story in the Guardian yesterday (5th) read: “Medical journal calls for total UK smoking ban.”

Banning, censoring, and other authoritarian measures get my goat at the best of times, but as I have managed—somehow—not to inhale any tobacco smoke for 85 days, I feel moved to say something.

To start with, I find The Lancet's call for the prohibition of tobacco about as offensive as tobacco smoke itself. The writers sound at best pompous and naïve, and at worst reactionary and authoritarian.

No one doubts that smoking is a dangerous, addictive, smelly, costly and anti-social habit, or that smokers who want to stop should be given every assistance. And I certainly agree that those of us who don’t smoke should be spared the offence of tobacco smoke in public places. What I object to is the supercilious assertion that tobacco-related health problems are best solved by the ugly and brutal measure of prohibition.

Has that disastrous American lesson the "War on Drugs", along with its wretched predecessor the 18th Amendment, taught us nothing? Prohibition not only creates the perfect conditions for organized crime, but because drugs become more valuable the more they are banned, it also creates powerful incentives for producers and smugglers. It also completely ignores the question of demand. The UN estimates that something like a billion dollars a day are spent on banned substances (every day) despite the extreme risks and penalties involved—an astounding figure that reveals just how futile prohibition is as a system of control. There's no doubt about it, we love our drugs [Ref and Ref].

Granted, if tobacco was banned in Britain smoking might become less socially acceptable, and many more people would probably quit. But tobacco would still be in demand, and therefore just as easy to obtain as other banned substances are today. Moreover, as the stuff would be smuggled and traded by the same people who deal in other, more profitable drugs, prohibition would also make tobacco a much worse “gateway” drug than it already is. Of course, exactly what people would be smoking is anyone's guess: black market goods aren't subject to any kind of official scrutiny and don't come with a manufacturer's guarantee.

Quite how the financial cost of prohibition would be met is another issue The Lancet’s editors fail to address—although they do admit that tobacco prohibition would slash treasury receipts by a whopping £9.3 billion—per year! Perhaps such details are beyond the remit of “medical advice,” but the costs don't stop there: a fortune in new, tobacco-related spending would also be required to cover the inevitable "crime wave" that tobacco-prohibition would unleash. Ten billion quid (or more, per year) is a lot of money to find, but then we’re talking about a lot of people too—which makes one wonder: how big does a minority have to be before it is entitled to democratic protection? Do the good doctors at The Lancet really want to criminalize millions of people who only risk harm to themselves?

No doubt prohibitionists will find such practical arguments as these insufficient, or even irrelevant, in which case I can only hope that the last redoubt of philosophy and principle will persuade them to think again. The Lancet's proposed ban violates a central principle of any society that claims to be civilized and free—a principle famously articulated by the Utilitarian philosopher John Stuart Mill in his 1859 essay On Liberty, in which he proclaimed:

[T]he only purpose for which power can be rightfully exercised over any member of a civilized community, against his will, is to prevent harm to others. His own good, either physical or moral, is not a sufficient warrant. . . . Over himself, over his own body and mind, the individual is sovereign.

In other words, so long as no one else is put at risk or adversely affected, informed adults should be able to do whatever silly things they want—even if the great and the good at The Lancet find it disagreeable. That's what freedom is.

 

Nov 2003

A Response to "ET and God" by Paul Davies in The Atlantic Monthly (Sept 2003, and correspondence). A rant on two of my favourite themes: extra-terrestrial intelligence and the relationship between science and religion. (See also here)

What men really want is not knowledge but certainty.
Bertrand Russell

How many things we held yesterday as articles of faith
which today we tell as fables.
Michel de Montaigne

Professor Davies nicely demonstrates just how incendiary the question of Extra-Terrestrial Intelligence (ETI) can be—especially in religious communities like the United States.

Why do we get so touchy when aliens and Gods are mentioned in the same breath? And what is it about this issue that exposes our metaphysical sensitivities so acutely?

I think what bothers us most is what the discovery of ETI might mean for our traditional religious beliefs, and thus the meanings we attach to existence. This is a threat that goes to the heart of religious claims, because to ponder the existence of alien intelligence is tantamount to asking: are ours the only souls in the universe, and if not, in what sense can we claim to be special—"the" chosen ones? As Arthur C Clarke famously observed: either we're alone or we aren't, and "in either case the prospect is staggering!" Indeed it is. This is one of those issues that raises the possibility that "reality" might in fact turn out to be quite different from what we have come to believe—a possibility many of us rush to deny. Not that this should come as a big surprise. Our alien angst is not a new phenomenon—we've been here before.

A century and a half ago the intellectual community was in a similar tumult. A rampant Victorian science was presenting religious intellectuals with philosophical difficulties that hadn't been talked about since the days of Galileo and the Inquisition. Darwin's theory of evolution in particular was a new and controversial account of natural history that sharply conflicted with traditional teachings about nature and what it meant to be human. Many were left facing painful metaphysical choices, and in a letter to a friend Darwin himself famously confessed that in formulating his theory he felt as if he had "committed a murder."

Another poignant example of just how agonizing these dilemmas could be is provided by Gary Hentzi, in his essay "Darwin and Darwinism in Victorian Literature", in which he describes the "intellectual discord" of the nineteenth-century naturalist and hard-line creationist Christian Philip Henry Gosse, as he struggled to resolve the "crushing doubts" he and many of his contemporaries were feeling:

A prominent zoologist as well as member of a sect known as the Plymouth Brethren, Gosse was deeply troubled by his conflicting beliefs and hoped to reconcile scientific evidence with biblical precedent by arguing, in a book entitled Omphalos: An Attempt to Untie the Geological Knot (1857), that God had created the world exactly as described in Genesis but with the fossils already embedded in the rocks. Just as Adam would have had a navel though he was born to no mother, Gosse suggested, the earth displays misleading marks of a nonexistent pre-history. This desperate manoeuvre was accurately described by his son as a "system of intellectual therapeutics," its function as psychological medicine embarrassingly evident from the very beginning. Nevertheless, while Gosse's solution won little assent, his plight is emblematic of the situation of many religious intellectuals in [the] mid nineteenth-century.

Gosse could find no escape from his dilemma, and he was by no means alone. Many intellectuals of his day (including the co-discoverer of Natural Selection Alfred Wallace, and the captain of the Beagle Robert Fitzroy) were similarly skewered by the cognitive dissonance Darwin's theory provoked. For some (like Wallace and Fitzroy), fundamentalism or mysticism were the answer, while for others the Darwinian apologist Thomas Huxley offered an alternative solution. He coined the term "agnosticism" (literally: no knowledge) which soon became a popular theological position for many Victorian intellectuals. Today, shy of clinging to positions that may later prove embarrassing, Huxley's agnosticism is arguably the default position most of us take—especially on matters of ontology.

Contemporary theologians may claim—sincerely—that the discovery of ETI won't spell the end of their faiths (just as some of their Victorian ancestors claimed—with equal sincerity—to embrace Natural Selection), but after several centuries of ecclesiastical retreat in the face of advancing science, such protestations sound ominously like wishful thinking—the Gosse-like tactic religious believers traditionally resort to when reason has them cornered.

Granted, some sort of God may survive the discovery of ETI—we seem to need deities too much to let the idea go—but it is difficult to see how the main text-based faiths could withstand such a blow.

For science, on the other hand, the discovery of ETI would be the greatest vindication imaginable—perhaps the greatest possible—it would strongly suggest that both the scientific method and the "laws of nature", far from being locally or culturally (or arbitrarily) construed, instead hold true across the vastness of space and time. We could at last claim that while we don't know the whole truth of nature, we at least have a part of it. And for once we could be sure of something that for thousands of years we've prayed for—to know that we aren't alone.

 

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