On Electing The Next President

Jan 2001 (An older, edited version of this essay appeared on the Dallas Morning News and PBS Websites)


With borderline machine counts, disputed hand counts, allegations of voter interference and the shabby business of settling the presidential election in court, what we have just been through can only be described as an embarrassment to the nation. The man with the most votes lost to the man with the most money. American politicians would have been fiercely critical had this debacle occurred in any other supposedly civilized country. Add to this the traditionally dismal turn-out by voters and the only thing one can say with certainty is that election procedure—all of it—must now come under scrutiny.

In Florida, the margin of counting error was larger than the margin of victory, which means they could have counted ballots until the cows came home and still been no nearer the truth. But aside from the obvious questions about which machines, ballots and systems should be used in future, for many people the central issue is not the mechanics of voting, but rather the unwieldly procedures by which it operates, and in particular the strange device of the Electoral College. The College may have been a useful institution in centuries past, when hardly anyone was entitled to vote and up-to-the-minute opinion polls were undreamt of, but in today's technological environment it is increasingly seen as archaic and unfair—not least because it distorts two basic principles of democracy: 1) that all votes should be worth the same, and 2) that the candidate with the most popular support should be the winner.

How can votes have different values? As events last year plainly demonstrated, under the current "first-past-the-post" system, a vote in a marginal state can have more influence on the outcome of a presidential election than a vote in another state where one candidate is the clear favorite. Indeed, many people who don't vote cite this as a reason for their abstinence: why bother voting when the result will be decided by a handful of "don't knows" half a continent away?

Ironically, one of the reasons the Supreme Court stopped the Florida recount was on the grounds of unequal treatment of voters, as opposed to unequal votes—a muddled distinction, because added to the built in bias of the Electoral College, there were other inequalities on voting day. For example, those fortunate enough to live in a county that had more sophisticated vote counting equipment were arguably better represented than those who lived elsewhere.

A more serious problem—partly due to the electoral system—is low voter turn-out. Although the popular vote was actually higher than expected, fully half of those who were entitled to vote in the 2000 election didn't bother. This urgently needs to be addressed. Less than a quarter of the adult population voted for Mr Bush—hardly a thumping mandate, and a problem that threatens to undermine the very principle of democracy. Why are so few people voting, and how can more people become involved in the world's most important democracy? Pressing questions for many, but not, it seems, for the political establishment.

All of which supports the case for electoral reform. But before we abandon the obviously flawed system of the Electoral College, perhaps we should first see if it can be fixed.

Nebraska and Maine offer a partial solution. In those states the number of Electoral College votes won by a presidential candidate is in direct proportion to the number of congressional districts won by his or her party. In addition, the two senatorial votes go to the popular winner of the state. Adopting this measure nationwide would preserve the intentions of the framers when they instituted the College, and more importantly, it would be fairer. Almost every state would become a "battleground" state and more people might thus be encouraged to vote. This measure would also be much easier to enact than a change to the constitution and would surely attract wide support.

This idea has problems though. What if a state votes overwhelmingly for, say, a Democrat presidential candidate and equally overwhelmingly for non-Democrat representatives? And what happens if a popular independent candidate stands for the White House? This reform could further entrench the existing two party system at the expense of independent candidates. We should elect a person, not a party, and tying one election result to another (as the Electoral College also does) is, at best, messy. If a change of this kind is to be adopted, then it would surely be better to have a simple proportional system in each state. If a candidate gets forty percent of the vote in a state, then he or she gets forty percent of that state's Electoral College votes. Even this reform, however, could lead to the outcome we have just had—where one candidate wins the White House while another wins the national popular vote.

The best solution: abolish the Electoral College and move to a directly elected President—one person one vote. This would clearly be more democratic than the present arrangements, and would also ensure that the 2000 situation never arose again. The electoral system has been modified several times in the past (to include African Americans, women, and directly elected Senators to name but three occasions), so there is plenty of precedent for change. In democracies across the world direct elections are the rule, not the exception; why not in America too?

In the end, the question is perhaps simply whether or not there is sufficient appetite to tamper with this part of the constitution. Someone must, because whether it's campaign finance, butterfly ballots or the constitution itself, democracy can't look after itself—not even in America. It is a fragile thing that needs constant attention and it could do with some right now.


RSP 2001

Links:

Al Gore on Democracy in America (2007 - superb article)
Bill Moyers on democracy
ERS
NARA

Electoral College links at Saratoga High School
Andrew Gumbel on the misuse of information technology in American elections
Robert F Kennedy's worrying Rolling Stone article: "Was the 2004 Election Stolen?" - on the many and serious voting irregularities in the 2004 Presidential election.

 

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